Elkhart Central
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #51
New Haven Semi-State Rank #15
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #4
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 0th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/13 8/19 8/26 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 552 885 731 763 732 608 725 689
Team Adjusted Rating 671 731 645 704 608 592 555
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conference Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
193  Nathan Dibley 11 16:54 17:13 16:45 17:10 16:53 17:08 16:45 16:58 17:00 16:50 16:42
208  Luis G. Perez 12 16:56 16:51 16:46 16:47 17:11 16:44 17:06 17:00 17:00 16:53
325  Luis F. Perez 10 17:13 19:55 19:33 19:27 19:45 19:42 17:00
372  Elias Soto 11 17:19 18:18 18:16 17:33 17:11 17:39 17:14 17:11 17:07
1,268  Jose Quinones 9 18:35 18:36 18:41 18:28 18:37 18:35
1,382  Sergio Delacruz 10 18:44 18:28 18:57 18:32 18:49 18:07 18:52 19:09
Austin Garcia 11 19:05 19:35 18:56 18:55 19:16 19:13 18:54
Hans Vanderzwaag 12 19:05 18:40 18:40 19:12 19:43 19:02 19:01 19:10
Henry Gatzemeyer 10 20:04 20:16 20:02 20:09 19:56
Ty Windy 10 21:52 20:01 23:10 28:06 21:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 3.0 89 14.3 23.8 26.7 21.9 10.1 3.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Dibley 2.7% 93.5 2.7% 2.7%
Luis G. Perez 1.3% 107.0 1.3% 1.3%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Dibley 98.9% 48.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 98.9% 98.9%
Luis G. Perez 97.8% 51.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 97.8% 97.8%
Luis F. Perez 61.0% 71.3 0.1 61.0% 61.0%
Elias Soto 32.1% 76.6 32.1% 32.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Dibley 100% 11.6 0.1 1.4 1.7 2.5 3.9 3.9 5.0 6.5 6.4 7.0 6.8 8.0 8.2 7.1 7.3 5.6 4.4 3.7 2.6 2.9 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.6 100.0% 100.0%
Luis G. Perez 100% 12.6 0.9 1.2 2.2 3.3 3.2 2.8 4.5 5.7 6.4 7.9 8.2 6.2 8.6 7.1 6.5 5.9 4.7 3.8 3.1 3.1 1.5 1.1 1.2 0.5 100.0% 100.0%
Luis F. Perez 100% 21.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.8 4.6 5.9 6.7 7.0 7.8 7.4 6.9 7.9 7.6 6.3 100.0% 100.0%
Elias Soto 100% 24.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.5 1.2 2.1 2.4 3.8 4.9 5.5 7.1 7.1 7.7 8.2 100.0% 100.0%
Jose Quinones 2.8% 63.3 2.8% 2.8%
Sergio Delacruz 0.3% 65.8 0.4% 0.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Dibley 6.0 2.2 4.7 7.8 10.3 10.9 14.1 11.6 11.1 9.3 6.8 4.9 3.0 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.2
Luis G. Perez 6.6 1.6 4.1 5.2 8.3 10.2 11.9 14.4 10.7 9.9 9.0 6.5 3.5 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1
Luis F. Perez 12.5 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.6 2.9 3.1 6.1 7.5 9.6 11.7 12.1 12.6 10.3 6.7 4.6 3.9 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1
Elias Soto 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 2.6 3.7 5.1 6.5 10.3 11.7 12.9 13.0 9.9 7.0 5.7 3.5 2.1 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.3
Jose Quinones 46.6
Sergio Delacruz 49.9